Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.com is now on The New York Times website. His latest forecasts on the U.S. Senate races suggest there’s a one percent chance Republicans will lose the U.S. Senate seat in Iowa that’s currently held by Chuck Grassley. (Grassley’s up for reelection this year, facing Democrat Roxanne Conlin.) Here’s Silver’s post on senate races around the country.
Silver’s forecast for the Iowa governor’s race — 97.3 percent chance for a Republican win. (Governor Chet Culver, a Democrat, faces former Governor Terry Branstad, a Republican, on November’s ballot.)

Kay is a founding member of the Radio Iowa network newsroom. In 1994, she became the network’s news director. She’s a featured reporter and commentator on Iowa Public Television’s “Iowa Press,” and the 2002 recipient of the Shelley Award.
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